Ward predictions sorted by council area

Map of predicted independence referendum results
Map of predicted independence referendum results. Based on this map by Interfector.
Yesterday’s prediction of ward results in the independence referendum was sorted by the percentage of Yes votes.

However, it might be instructive to list the same figures by council area, and to calculate the results also for the councils (given that Yes Scotland is organised by council area).

I’ve also created a map of the council areas to illustrate the prediction. Pure blue is 60% Yes, and pure red is 60% No.

I would have loved to create a ward map, too, but I haven’t been able to find a suitable ward map of Scotland, and I don’t have time to create one. If somebody has plenty of time, it should be quite easy to do, however, given that ward maps are generally easy to find for each council area.

Anyway, here are the predicted results (read yesterday’s blog post for more information about the methodology):

Council area Ward Yes No
Aberdeen 49% 51%
Airyhall / Broomhill / Garthdee 41% 59%
Bridge of Don 52% 48%
Dyce / Bucksburn / Danestone 53% 47%
George St / Harbour 54% 46%
Hazlehead / Ashley / Queens Cross 37% 63%
Hilton / Stockethill 53% 47%
Kincorth / Loirston 53% 47%
Kingswells / Sheddocksley 51% 49%
Lower Deeside 44% 56%
Midstocket / Rosemount 43% 57%
Northfield 62% 38%
Tillydrone / Seaton / Old Aberdeen 55% 45%
Torry / Ferryhill 51% 49%
Aberdeenshire 53% 47%
Aboyne, Upper Deeside and Donside 38% 62%
Banchory and Mid Deeside 44% 56%
Banff and District 59% 41%
Central Buchan 58% 42%
East Garioch 48% 52%
Ellon and District 54% 46%
Fraserburgh and District 71% 29%
Huntly, Strathbogie and Howe of Alford 46% 54%
Inverurie and District 50% 50%
Mearns 49% 51%
Mid Formartine 48% 52%
North Kincardine 48% 52%
Peterhead North and Rattray 68% 32%
Peterhead South and Cruden 70% 30%
Stonehaven and Lower Deeside 42% 58%
Troup 61% 39%
Turriff and District 55% 45%
West Garioch 50% 50%
Westhill and District 47% 53%
Angus 57% 43%
Arbroath East and Lunan 59% 41%
Arbroath West and Letham 53% 47%
Brechin and Edzell 62% 38%
Carnoustie and District 57% 43%
Forfar and District 59% 41%
Kirriemuir and Dean 46% 54%
Monifieth and Sidlaw 58% 42%
Montrose and District 58% 42%
Argyll and Bute 53% 47%
Cowal 58% 42%
Dunoon 57% 43%
Helensburgh Central 45% 55%
Helensburgh and Lomond South 46% 54%
Isle of Bute 65% 35%
Kintyre and the Islands 49% 51%
Lomond North 54% 46%
Mid Argyll 53% 47%
Oban North and Lorn 57% 43%
Oban South and the Isles 59% 41%
South Kintyre 39% 61%
Clackmannanshire 55% 45%
Clackmannanshire Central 54% 46%
Clackmannanshire East 46% 54%
Clackmannanshire North 61% 39%
Clackmannanshire South 58% 42%
Clackmannanshire West 55% 45%
Dumfries and Galloway 43% 57%
Abbey 39% 61%
Annandale East and Eskdale 36% 64%
Annandale North 42% 58%
Annandale South 41% 59%
Castle Douglas and Glenkens 45% 55%
Dee 46% 54%
Lochar 41% 59%
Mid Galloway 50% 50%
Mid and Upper Nithsdale 41% 59%
Nith 42% 58%
North West Dumfries 42% 58%
Stranraer and North Rhins 45% 55%
Wigtown West 60% 40%
Dundee 56% 44%
Coldside 56% 44%
East End 61% 39%
Lochee 60% 40%
Maryfield 56% 44%
North East 65% 35%
Strathmartine 58% 42%
The Ferry 45% 55%
West End 52% 48%
East Ayrshire 55% 45%
Annick 51% 49%
Ballochmyle 52% 48%
Cumnock and New Cumnock 50% 50%
Doon Valley 52% 48%
Irvine Valley 55% 45%
Kilmarnock East and Hurlford 56% 44%
Kilmarnock North 62% 38%
Kilmarnock South 58% 42%
Kilmarnock West and Crosshouse 58% 42%
East Dunbartonshire 44% 56%
Bearsden North 41% 59%
Bearsden South 43% 57%
Bishopbriggs North and Torrance 40% 60%
Bishopbriggs South 44% 56%
Campsie and Kirkintilloch North 50% 50%
Kirkintilloch East and Twechar 50% 50%
Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South 39% 61%
Milngavie 45% 55%
East Lothian 49% 51%
Dunbar and East Linton 48% 52%
Fa’side 51% 49%
Haddington and Lammermuir 47% 53%
Musselburgh East and Carberry 53% 47%
Musselburgh West 51% 49%
North Berwick Coastal 44% 56%
Preston / Seton / Gosford 48% 52%
East Renfrewshire 40% 60%
Barrhead 51% 49%
Busby, Clarkston and Eaglesham 37% 63%
Giffnock and Thornliebank 40% 60%
Neilston, Uplawmoor and Newton Mearns North 42% 58%
Netherlee, Stamperland and Williamwood 41% 59%
Newton Mearns South 30% 70%
Edinburgh 43% 57%
Almond 41% 59%
City Centre 46% 54%
Colinton / Fairmilehead 32% 68%
Corstorphine / Murrayfield 37% 63%
Craigentinny / Duddingston 48% 52%
Drum Brae / Gyle 44% 56%
Forth 44% 56%
Fountainbridge / Craiglockhart 43% 57%
Inverleith 40% 60%
Leith Walk 49% 51%
Leith 50% 50%
Liberton / Gilmerton 47% 53%
Meadows / Morningside 38% 62%
Pentland Hills 37% 63%
Portobello / Craigmillar 58% 42%
Sighthill / Gorgie 51% 49%
Southside / Newington 39% 61%
Falkirk 54% 46%
Bo’ness and Blackness 59% 41%
Bonnybridge and Larbert 58% 42%
Carse, Kinnaird and Tryst 55% 45%
Denny and Banknock 60% 40%
Falkirk North 56% 44%
Falkirk South 49% 51%
Grangemouth 54% 46%
Lower Braes 46% 54%
Upper Braes 51% 49%
Fife 51% 49%
Buckhaven, Methil and Wemyss Villages 54% 46%
Burntisland, Kinghorn and Western Kirkcaldy 54% 46%
Cowdenbeath 51% 49%
Cupar 46% 54%
Dunfermline Central 42% 58%
Dunfermline North 51% 49%
Dunfermline South 49% 51%
East Neuk and Landward 42% 58%
Glenrothes Central and Thornton 61% 39%
Glenrothes North, Leslie and Markinch 62% 38%
Glenrothes West and Kinglassie 61% 39%
Howe of Fife and Tay Coast 46% 54%
Inverkeithing and Dalgety Bay 48% 52%
Kirkcaldy Central 52% 48%
Kirkcaldy East 54% 46%
Kirkcaldy North 51% 49%
Leven, Kennoway and Largo 51% 49%
Lochgelly and Cardenden 51% 49%
Rosyth 52% 48%
St Andrews 43% 57%
Tay Bridgehead 45% 55%
The Lochs 52% 48%
West Fife and Coastal Villages 49% 51%
Glasgow 51% 49%
Anderston / City 51% 49%
Baillieston 54% 46%
Calton 46% 54%
Canal 54% 46%
Craigton 53% 47%
Drumchapel / Anniesland 49% 51%
East Centre 47% 53%
Garscadden / Scotstounhill 51% 49%
Govan 48% 52%
Greater Pollok 55% 45%
Hillhead 52% 48%
Langside 50% 50%
Linn 51% 49%
Maryhill / Kelvin 55% 45%
Newlands / Auldburn 50% 50%
North East 50% 50%
Partick West 46% 54%
Pollokshields 48% 52%
Shettleston 52% 48%
Southside Central 54% 46%
Springburn 55% 45%
Highland 54% 46%
Aird and Loch Ness 53% 47%
Badenoch and Strathspey 54% 46%
Black Isle 52% 48%
Caol and Mallaig 53% 47%
Cromarty Firth 59% 41%
Culloden and Ardersier 57% 43%
Dingwall and Seaforth 55% 45%
East Sutherland and Edderton 48% 52%
Eilean a’ Cheo 54% 46%
Fort William and Ardnamurchan 52% 48%
Inverness Central 54% 46%
Inverness Millburn 52% 48%
Inverness Ness-Side 51% 49%
Inverness South 55% 45%
Inverness West 55% 45%
Landward Caithness 51% 49%
Nairn 59% 41%
North, West and Central Sutherland 56% 44%
Tain and Easter Ross 56% 44%
Thurso 54% 46%
Wester Ross, Strathpeffer and Lochalsh 54% 46%
Wick 57% 43%
Inverclyde 49% 51%
Inverclyde East Central 50% 50%
Inverclyde East 45% 55%
Inverclyde North 48% 52%
Inverclyde South West 52% 48%
Inverclyde South 50% 50%
Inverclyde West 49% 51%
Midlothian 53% 47%
Bonnyrigg 53% 47%
Dalkeith 52% 48%
Midlothian East 52% 48%
Midlothian South 54% 46%
Midlothian West 55% 45%
Penicuik 52% 48%
Moray 60% 40%
Buckie 60% 40%
Elgin City North 59% 41%
Elgin City South 56% 44%
Fochabers Lhanbryde 55% 45%
Forres 56% 44%
Heldon and Laich 62% 38%
Keith and Cullen 64% 36%
Speyside Glenlivet 65% 35%
Na h-Eileanan an lar 58% 42%
An Taobh Siar agus Nis 56% 44%
Barraigh, Bhatarsaigh, Eirisgeigh agus Uibhist a Deas 70% 30%
Beinn na Foghla agus Uibhist a Tuath 50% 50%
Loch a Tuath 61% 39%
Na Hearadh agus Ceann a Deas nan Loch 59% 41%
Sgire Uige agus Ceann a Tuath nan Loch 60% 40%
Sgire an Rubha 55% 45%
Steornabhagh a Deas 56% 44%
Steornabhagh a Tuath 56% 44%
North Ayrshire 53% 47%
Ardrossan and Arran 56% 44%
Dalry and West Kilbride 50% 50%
Irvine East 54% 46%
Irvine West 52% 48%
Kilbirnie and Beith 52% 48%
Kilwinning 48% 52%
North Coast and Cumbraes 54% 46%
Saltcoats and Stevenston 58% 42%
North Lanarkshire 53% 47%
Abronhill, Kildrum and The Village 63% 37%
Airdrie Central 58% 42%
Airdrie North 59% 41%
Airdrie South 56% 44%
Bellshill 54% 46%
Coatbridge North and Glenboig 52% 48%
Coatbridge South 53% 47%
Coatbridge West 50% 50%
Cumbernauld North 53% 47%
Cumbernauld South 59% 41%
Fortissat 55% 45%
Kilsyth 50% 50%
Mossend and Holytown 50% 50%
Motherwell North 47% 53%
Motherwell South East and Ravenscraig 54% 46%
Motherwell West 51% 49%
Murdostoun 46% 54%
Strathkelvin 48% 52%
Thorniewood 48% 52%
Wishaw 50% 50%
Orkney Islands 56% 44%
East Mainland, South Ronaldsay and Burray 57% 43%
Kirkwall East 55% 45%
Kirkwall West and Orphir 59% 41%
North Isles 57% 43%
Stromness and South Isles 57% 43%
West Mainland 56% 44%
Perth and Kinross 51% 49%
Almond and Earn 46% 54%
Blairgowrie and Glens 58% 42%
Carse of Gowrie 61% 39%
Highland 60% 40%
Kinross-shire 46% 54%
Perth City Centre 52% 48%
Perth City North 58% 42%
Perth City South 43% 57%
Strathallan 44% 56%
Strathearn 46% 54%
Strathmore 49% 51%
Strathtay 52% 48%
Renfrewshire 52% 48%
Bishopton, Bridge of Weir and Langbank 45% 55%
Erskine and Inchinnan 51% 49%
Houston, Crosslee and Linwood 50% 50%
Johnstone North, Kilbarchan and Lochwinnoch 58% 42%
Johnstone South, Elderslie and Howwood 52% 48%
Paisley East and Ralston 49% 51%
Paisley North West 49% 51%
Paisley South West 53% 47%
Paisley South 54% 46%
Renfrew North 60% 40%
Renfrew South and Gallowhill 57% 43%
Scottish Borders 47% 53%
East Berwickshire 47% 53%
Galashiels and District 56% 44%
Hawick and Denholm 47% 53%
Hawick and Hermitage 49% 51%
Jedburgh and District 42% 58%
Kelso and District 43% 57%
Leaderdale and Melrose 53% 47%
Mid Berwickshire 45% 55%
Selkirkshire 47% 53%
Tweeddale East 45% 55%
Tweeddale West 46% 54%
Shetland Islands 56% 44%
Lerwick North 58% 42%
Lerwick South 54% 46%
North Isles 57% 43%
Shetland Central 58% 42%
Shetland North 57% 43%
Shetland South 53% 47%
Shetland West 57% 43%
South Ayrshire 43% 57%
Ayr East 39% 61%
Ayr North 49% 51%
Ayr West 38% 62%
Girvan and South Carrick 47% 53%
Kyle 44% 56%
Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton 47% 53%
Prestwick 43% 57%
Troon 44% 56%
South Lanarkshire 51% 49%
Avondale and Stonehouse 49% 51%
Blantyre 53% 47%
Bothwell and Uddingston 42% 58%
Cambuslang East 49% 51%
Cambuslang West 46% 54%
Clydesdale East 44% 56%
Clydesdale North 45% 55%
Clydesdale South 50% 50%
Clydesdale West 55% 45%
East Kilbride Central North 55% 45%
East Kilbride Central South 54% 46%
East Kilbride East 55% 45%
East Kilbride South 62% 38%
East Kilbride West 51% 49%
Hamilton North and East 49% 51%
Hamilton South 47% 53%
Hamilton West and Earnock 53% 47%
Larkhall 53% 47%
Rutherglen Central and North 50% 50%
Rutherglen South 46% 54%
Stirling 47% 53%
Bannockburn 53% 47%
Castle 53% 47%
Dunblane and Bridge of Allan 46% 54%
Forth and Endrick 40% 60%
Stirling East 50% 50%
Stirling West 45% 55%
Trossachs and Teith 48% 52%
West Dunbartonshire 56% 44%
Clydebank Central 57% 43%
Clydebank Waterfront 57% 43%
Dumbarton 55% 45%
Kilpatrick 53% 47%
Leven 58% 42%
Lomond 59% 41%
West Lothian 55% 45%
Armadale and Blackridge 59% 41%
Bathgate 56% 44%
Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh 54% 46%
East Livingston and East Calder 55% 45%
Fauldhouse and the Breich Valley 51% 49%
Linlithgow 50% 50%
Livingston North 58% 42%
Livingston South 57% 43%
Whitburn and Blackburn 53% 47%

5 thoughts on “Ward predictions sorted by council area”

    1. Interesting. It’s probably overkill for my purpose, but if I get bored one day I’ll look into it. Thanks!

  1. Thanks for the great work. Very interesting site all round. Many signs that yes might win this although a big danger is the shy no theory. Good to see so many people interested in voting, debating and deciding their future. Good luck to Scotland and her people.

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